Nate Geary’s Top 10 QBs: #1 Patrick Mahomes

1. Patrick Mahomes (Jr.) – Texas Tech

Height: 6-2 Weight: 225

40-Yard Dash: 4.8

Career Stats:

            11,252 passing yards, 93 TDs, 29 INTs, 63.5 comp. %

Player Comparison: Matt Stafford

Projected Draft Round: 1

 

The Lowdown:

Mahomes is one of my favorite prospects I’ve scouted in depth, and he’s one of the more unique passers I’ve had the chance to see. His arm strength rivals that of JaMarcus Russell (I know what you’re thinking), the former number one overall pick. The biggest difference in my mind is Mahomes’s ability to extend plays and deliver some absolute dimes. You’ll see a few plays that, to me, set Mahomes apart from the rest of this class. There are certainly a number of reasons Mahomes likely won’t be the first quarterback taken in tonight’s draft, but what he’ll bring the team that eventually selects him is the potential for greatness.

 

What They’re Saying:

“Mahomes will need a deep drop, vertical passing system that embraces his arm talent and propensity for big plays. The Carolina Panthers passing offense is a good example of how Mahomes could be used in the NFL. Mahomes would benefit greatly from a coaching staff that is willing to accept the many bumps along the way. Mahomes will be a delicate package in the NFL, but if handled correctly, he has more than enough tools to assert himself as a legitimate starter.”

 

– Derrik Klassen (Optimum Scouting)

 

“Patrick Mahomes is a winner and will only be 21 years old on draft night. He may be a bit of a gunslinger at times, but his upside his enormous. If a team can coach and develop him effectively, watch out. I really, really like Patrick Mahomes. The gap between his floor and his ceiling is gargantuan, but I would not be opposed to a first-round selection.”

 

– Fox Sports

 

“Mahomes is a big, confident quarterback who brings a variety of physical tools to the party, but he’s developed some bad habits and doesn’t have a very repeatable process as a passer. Mahomes’ ability to improvise and extend plays can lead to big plays for his offense, but he will have to prove he can operate with better anticipation and be willing to take what the defense gives him in order to win from the pocket. Mahomes will be a work in progress, but he’s a high ceiling, low floor prospect.”

 

– Lance Zierlein (NFL.com)

 

“Mahomes is as interesting as a prospect as there is at quarterback that comes with high risk/high reward. His arm is as good as any quarterback in the NFL playing right now. The natural passing instincts as far as sliding and feeling pass-rushers in the pocket, to seeing in front of the throw and adjusting to the type of throw needed, is special. His lack of discipline in the pocket with footwork, bailing on clean pockets, and decision making is a big concern. Some of the bailing on pockets can be attributed to how much “rush three drop eight into coverage” he saw, which can lead to playing outside of structure to find passing lanes more often. Coming from a system with everything so spread out and defined passing lanes, there will be an adjustment period needed for the NFL game and seeing tighter throwing lanes. Mahomes is not likely a Day 1 starter in the NFL but is certainly worth a first-round selection as a potential big hit as a franchise quarterback.”

 

– Pro Football Focus

 

My Take:

Take him. He’s got the potential to be a world-beater, the kind of guy that can turn the fortunes of a franchise. The same can be said about his bust potential if he’s put in the wrong situation, though. For me, the Bills desperately need what Mahomes can bring: a big, strong arm that allows him to throw guys open 60+ yards down the field. He’s the kind of guy that can extend plays and allow receivers to break off of man coverage. Film doesn’t lie, and although you do see a lot of flaws in his game, like arm mechanics and poor footwork, I believe he’s the sort of raw talent that can propel a franchise. Please take him.

 

Game Film:

 

I’ll just leave this here… are you kidding me? Say what you will about the level of competition, but my god, was this play impressive. Extending the play, he has a defender draped all over him, and to deliver that accurate of a ball? Impressive. I don’t love how he cradles the ball so far away from his body, but those are things that are instinctual, he’s played that way his whole life, and in my opinion he likely doesn’t change. But that’s okay.

 

 

As made famous on Gruden Camp, this play illustrates the ridiculous arm strength Mahomes possesses. Rolling out left and throwing the deep ball used to be my favorite play. It helps you engage your hips and you can maximize your distance. Mahomes decides instead to completely close his hips and essentially throw this ball on the money with just a flick of the wrist. Unreal.

 

 

Here’s an example of Mahomes being a little too confident in his arm strength. Gunslingers like Mahomes have the confidence to make any throw on the field, no matter the coverage. I’d like to see Mahomes clean this type of thing up. This sort of mistake is a mindset, rather than a mechanical flaw, and I believe it’s correctable.

 

THANK YOU FOR READING. Many thanks to all those that followed my series over the past few weeks. They came fast and furious at the end, but thanks for all the support and clicks!

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One comment on “Nate Geary’s Top 10 QBs: #1 Patrick Mahomes

  1. Booger says:

    I’d love a QB, but not another Tyrod Taylor.

    Mitch Trubisky is better, and it seems the actual scouts who get paid to do this for a living think the same.

    (Including Zierlein, who thinks he’s comparable to Matthew Stafford…but of course Bills fans wouldn’t want that.)

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