Draft Day Scenarios | By Tim Mack

What makes the draft fun is that it is totally unpredictable. What fans may think is going to happen usually never does. But this year the Bills really do have many options with their 19th pick. They did a good job of signing veterans to one year deals to open up their draft options. Players such as CB Corey White and Sterling Moore were great additions to help not only solidify the corner position but to bring in competition.

White is in the slot versus Amendola. He played really well against the Pats shifty slot WRs last year.


Moore makes plays on the ball at their catch points. He is the corner at the bottom of the screen vs. Beckham.


The Bills also signed a highly talented linebacker in Zach Brown. He was a former second round pick who has had his ups and downs but he has played in a 3-4 system and has the physical tools to excel in Rex’s defense.

He can stop the run.


Or carry wide receivers or tight ends down the field. He is covering the slot WR down the field. It is a catch but that kind of ability will be tremendous for this defense. Quite an athletic player.


Adding safety depth was important, but the Bills added a player that has played against the talented receivers and tight ends in our division. The Bills brought in Robert Blanton to compete with Graham and others. Blanton is a former corner so he is accustomed to playing in the slot and or versus tight ends. Especially former Bear now Patriot Martellus Bennett and Brandon Marshall in New York.

Blanton in the slot vs. Marshall.

But there are still questions surrounding Aaron Williams’ health and Corey Graham’s ability at safety. The Bills could address the position in this draft.

The defensive line needs some massive work. The Bills need to bring in players that fit the scheme, that are intelligent and offer versatility. Good thing for the Bills that the defensive line talent is probably the deepest than it has ever been.

The Bills would love to bring in some more competition to the right side of the offensive line. They signed veteran center/guard Fernando Velasco but I don’t expect much from him. Guard John Miller and right tackles Henderson and Mills struggled at times last year. So don’t be surprised to see the Bills look to grab players that fit Greg Roman’s scheme. So let’s take a look at a few draft scenarios that could occur this weekend.


Three possible scenarios for the Bills on draft day:

1: Myles Jack Falls

Bills trade with Oakland for the 14th pick. Oakland receives the 19th and 80th picks. Buffalo moves up in the draft to take Linebacker Myles Jack. Buffalo is in desperate need for a LB to play in Rex Ryan’s system. Jack comes with health concerns, but the versatility Jack can bring will fit in perfect with Rex’s multi-faceted system. Oakland sees an opportunity to move back only 5 spots and gain an extra 3rd round pick. They signed Bruce Irvin in the offseason to play with Mack, making Jack a luxury pick instead of a need. Although the Bills signed linebacker Zach Brown in the offseason it is only a one year deal. 

2: The Bills stand pat at 19

They take BPA. In this scenario the Bills select the player at the top of their board, regardless of position. This draft would have Lee and Floyd both off the board. There are three names that will be at the top of the list.

1. Shaq Lawson – Can step right in and play end in the 4-3 or edge in the 3-4.

2. Taylor Decker – Starts Day 1 at right tackle. Insurance in case Glenn is not resigned.


3. Josh Doctson – A true number 2 WR to play with Sammy.

3: Lynch on the board at 19, trade back

The Bills see a chance to trade back and take it. Both Denver and Cleveland will calling the Bills about the 19th pick if Lynch is still sitting there.

The Bills jump on it. Buffalo receives the 31st and 63rd picks in the 2016 Draft, Denver receives the 19th pick and selects Paxton Lynch. The Buffalo Bills make this trade based on the depth in the first two rounds of this draft. Not needing a QB, gives the Bills the flexibility to let another team over pay for a QB. They move back and grab depth as well as a possible day 1 starter on defense. With this trade, the Bills will have the 31st, 49th, 63rd, and 80th pick.

Pick 31

Kevin Dodd DE Clemson. Dodd can come right in and play pretty much anywhere you need him. A lot of NFL scouts have said that he compares to Michael Bennett.

Pick 49

Bills go out and get a hybrid player that could help cover tight ends and seam players by selecting Su’a Cravens LB USC. He can play sideline to sideline as a LB in Rex’s defense from day 1. During the Bills draft luncheon Whaley stated the following:

I look at it, not Rex’s defense, where the game’s going. I mean, you look at our division alone. New England, well, now they’ve got the two tight ends, but they’re going to be in a lot of three- and four-wides. The Jets, their three wides is the base set, and Adam Gase in Miami, his base set is three wides. So the game is going to a more spread out, less downhill — how many fullbacks are in the league? So those bigger-bodied guys are not going to be as heavily coveted in our division just because you’re going to be in nickel and dime a lot. We’re going to play 70-percent of the time in nickel, so we need a guy that’s quick.”


So getting a player like Cravens will allow Rex to put him in at linebacker in nickel situations to combat division rivals.


Pick 63

Buffalo drafts Christian Westerman guard from ASU. He is a player that is accustomed to pulling and leading runs in space. He targets second level defenders well and is able to lock on. He is #55 in the following clips:

Smoothly moves to the second level.


Comfortable in space. Punishes defenders.


Solid pass protection. Hands inside, good base.

Pick 80

The Bills use the 80th overall pick in the draft to select Jaylon Smith LB Notre Dame. The Bills are able to hit all of needs, as well as take a chance on a guy who was once considered a top 5 pick in this draft. Drafting Jaylon Smith is a future pick. Smith was the top LB coming into the draft before tearing his knee in the Fiesta Bowl. Doctors have recently said that he will not play this year, but if he can come back next year and play. If he can play even close to the level he was playing before the injury, then this is a steal.

The Bills have many options this draft year and I expect Whaley, with his quick trigger mentality to be working the phones now and on draft day. What are your draft day scenarios?

Click here to see who the Bills have met with and the Cover 1 breakdown of some of the players.


Check out some of our other draft breakdowns:

DT Kenny Clark

WR Kenny Lawler

G Ted Karras

QB Dak Prescott

ILB Josh Perry

RB Paul Perkins

LB Joe Shobert

LB Stephen Weatherly

WR Corey Coleman

WR Michael Thomas

LB Tyler Matakevich

Safety Justin Simmons

DL A’shawn Robinson

LB Kentrell Brothers

OT Jason Spriggs


Check out the Cover 1 YouTube page:

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