The Buffalo Bills aren’t a very good football team right now. You don’t need me to tell you this, but the hope of a “get right game” versus Denver felt lost, like the fumble on the first carry from James Cook. Buffalo currently sits at 5-5 on the year, with a two-game losing streak and losers of three of its last four games. Nothing about that screams, “We’re close.” Despite all of that, maybe, just maybe, the firing of offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey can be a spark. The Bills sit just .5 games behind the 5-4 Texans, who are currently the seventh seed in the AFC playoff picture, and even with all the doomsday scenarios around the fanbase, the postseason isn’t out of the realm of possibilities. Now, on the other hand, the Buffalo is only .5 games away from a top-ten pick. Before we move ahead to the Bills hosting divisional rival New York next Sunday, let’s look back at five “would you believe me if I said…” stats coming out of Week 10’s loss.
A loaded Film Room episode tonight at 7PM.
— Cover 1 (@Cover1) November 15, 2023
Would You Believe Me If I Said… the Bills are allergic to numbers over 25?
Since the Bills put up 48 in a destruction of the Miami Dolphins, the offense has lost its ability to score. Buffalo has played six games since that win, going 2-4. What is worse is how little the offense is scoring. In that span, here are their point totals: 20 vs. Jacksonville, 14 vs. New York Giants, 25 vs. New England, 24 vs. Tampa Bay, 18 vs. Cincinnati, and 22 vs. Denver.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… the Bills are doing the one-score game thing again?
Last year, there was a season-long discussion about the Bills’ struggles in one-score games. That narrative crumbled as Buffalo won its last five games decided by eight points or fewer. If you want to rekindle that conversation, now is a good time. The Bills’ last six games have been decided by one score, and they have lost four of those, including disappointing outings against New England and Denver.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… Josh Allen lost his touch?
I know many fans simply will not allow criticism of Joshua Patrick Allen. Well, I’m here to tell you he struggled on intermediate passes against the Broncos. In that game, Allen threw seven passes between 10 and 20 yards, of those, only one was a competition, and two were interceptions. Quick math, the Broncos caught more of Allen’s balls in that range than Buffalo did.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… Kincaid and Shakir are open?
According to NextGenStats, the Bills passing targets of Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid are blowing the league average for separation out of the water. During the loss to Denver, the wideout had an average separation of 4.13 yards; meanwhile, the tight end was at almost five yards with a 4.87. The league average is 2.94. You need to find a way to get them more targets, especially Shakir, who only saw two passes come his way.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… the Bills like breakfast pasties?
Buffalo has the worst turnover margin per game over their last three games at -2.0. So, they are spotting the opponent two extra possessions per game during that span. This problem was very obvious in the two-point loss to Denver, where the Bills lost a pair of fumbles, and Allen threw two picks.