Let’s flip a coin. It’s a standard US quarter. You call heads in the air, and it comes up heads. Well done. Are you ready to make a wager? I’ll bet you that you can’t call a coin flip correctly four times in a row. If you win, I’ll pay you $200. If you lose, you owe me $10. Are you taking that bet? Answers here will vary depending on an individual’s risk tolerance, and/or their perceived odds of being successful. If you’re wondering what the odds are of correctly calling a coin toss four times in a row, it’s one in sixteen. That gives you a 6.25% chance of winning this bet. Not great. The odds of winning a football game are sometimes similar to a coin toss. But some teams are better than others. Let’s pretend for a moment that your favorite team is widely considered to be the best one in the NFL. Vegas betting spreads imply that in each game, they have a 65% chance of victory. That only gives them a 17.85% chance of winning the Super Bowl without winning their conference. So what does it take to overcome those odds and win football’s most … Continue reading When It Comes to the Bills’ Coaching Staff, Be Careful What You Wish For