The Buffalo Bills are on the road today as they look to eat some Kansas City BBQ and the Chiefs at 4:25 P.M. Both teams enter this one at 4-1, tied atop the AFC. The Bills come in as the betting favorites, the first time Patrick Mahomes has ever been the underdog at home. The winner not only takes that top spot but also holds the all-important head-to-head tiebreaker for playoff seeding come the end of the year. Will this be the year Buffalo claims the #1 seed and a bye? Here are the top five things I believe they need to do to return to Orchard Park as the victors.
This isn’t just the name of Travis Kelce’s former reality dating show, but also the key to the Chiefs offense with Tyreek Hill now a member of the Miami Dolphins. We know Kelce is one of the best tight ends in the game and arguably the best to ever do it, and he is coming off of a historic performance against Las Vegas. In Week 5 the Cincinnati alum hauled in four, yes – one, two, three, four – touchdowns to help propel KC to a 30-29 come-from-behind win (more on that later). He was also part of a trio of Chiefs that saw eight targets, leading the team with seven catches. If Buffalo wants to improve to 5-1, figuring out something the NFL has struggled to do for years now should be priority number one.
This is the classic case of cutting off the head, and the body dies. The Bills have done a decent job against Patrick Mahomes during their two regular-season matchups, holding the future Hall-of-Fame QB to 497 yards with four passing touchdowns and two picks in those two contests. However, in the playoffs, the QB has 703 yards with six touchdowns in just two games. If Buffalo can contain Mahomes to his regular season form, they should be able to outscore Kansas City pretty easily. Time will tell if we get the normal version of Patrick or if playoff Patrick comes out in the prime afternoon slot.
Dial Up Davis
Gabe Davis owned Kansas City in their most recent matchup, bringing down a postseason record four touchdowns and 201 yards on eight receptions. Josh Allen was able to dial up #13 anytime he wanted in that overtime loss. The crazy thing about today is that things may be even more favorable for Davis. The Chiefs are coming off of a game where they were scorched by the Raiders’ deep target Davante Adams to the tune of 124 yards and a pair of deep touchdowns. Meanwhile, we all saw Davis bring in touchdowns of 98 and 62 yards last week. Add those three things together, and we may see Davis dominating the Chiefs’ secondary once again.
Cooking With James
James Cook finally looked like a guy you would use a second-round pick on in the blowout win last week over Pittsburgh. The rookie ran the ball four times for 31 yards and scored his first career touchdown. It was good to see him utilized a bit more in the offense, but we are still waiting to see him get going in the passing game as he did while at Georgia. That could finally come to fruition today as the Chiefs allowed the Raiders to utilize their backs a bunch in the passing game. Las Vegas targeted the guys out of the backfield nine times, and they caught all nine passes for 73 yards. On top of that, Josh Jacobs was amazing on the ground racking up 154 yards and a touchdown on 21 attempts.
All Gas, No Brakes
Here we go again! The Bills are playing a team that made a nice-sized comeback. Kansas City trailed the Raiders 17-0 before winning 30-29. Luckily for the Bills, they don’t allow teams to come back in the second half of games. Buffalo is an astounding +64 in the third and fourth quarters of games. That number alone would be the second-best point differential in the NFL, only trailing the Bills’ entire game number of +91. No lead against the Chiefs should be considered safe. If you get an early lead, still keep the throttle down!