The Buffalo Bills have won five-straight games, including back-to-back-to-back divisional games, after gutting out a 32-29 thriller over Miami Saturday night. The win moves them to 11-3 and keeps them in first in the AFC. Buffalo hasn’t officially locked down the AFC East…yet, but they are three games up on Miami with three games to play, and it would take the Bills going 0-3 with the Dolphins going 3-0 for things to switch. Before we move ahead to their next matchup with the Bears in Chicago on Saturday at 1:00, here are some fun “would you believe me if I said…” stats from your Buffalo Bills through 14 games of the Bills’ 2022 season.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… Shaq Lawson is the latest player to have a resurgence with the Bills?
Defense end Shaq Lawson had a frustrating 2021 with the New York Jets, one that saw him become available at the end of last year, where he ultimately signed back with the Bills this offseason. The former Bills’ first-round pick has bounced back nicely this season, seeing his tackle total already tie last season at 23 with three games left to play. The 19th selection in 2016 has racked up nine QB hits this year, which is up from five with the Jets. He also has four tackles for a loss in 2022, with just five a season ago. The analytics also see a climb back to prominence with Pro Football Focus (PFF) giving him a grade of 60.5 this year and just 58.6 last year. With a few good showings, it’s not out of the question that Lawson could reach his career-high of 33 tackles or 6.5 sacks after totaling 3.5 through week 15.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… Josh Allen is proving to be one of the Bills’ best running backs EVER?
Josh Allen, the Bills’ quarterback, is only 15 yards away from having the 10th most rushing yards in the Bills’ history. He currently has 3,030 rushing yards which are just 15 behind the 3,056 of Cookie Gilchrist. Allen is averaging just over 50 yards per game this season, so he should easily move into the top ten. If he kept his numbers up, he’d finish the season with 856 rushing yards and 3,181 for his career. If he duplicated those yards in 2023, the Wyoming product would move up to 5th on the Bills’ all-time list. It’s not crazy to think he finishes his Buffalo career third all-time in rushing behind only Thurman Thomas and O.J. Simpson.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… Josh Allen owns the NFC?
The Bills are preparing to play the Chicago Bears this week, and that is good news for QB Josh Allen who is currently 15-5 overall against the NFC. In those games, he has thrown for 5,103 yards with 41 touchdowns and added another 799 yards on the ground with 14 more trips to paydirt. According to the Bills’ PR team, Allen has racked up three AFC Offensive Player of the Week awards in those 20 games (Seattle 2020, San Francisco 2020, Washington 2021).
Would You Believe Me If I Said… analytics love the Bills?
If you love advanced stats, you need to have a membership to Football Outsiders. They put together some of the most comprehensive numbers, and many in that community swear by their DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average). Their website explains DVOA as a “system that breaks down every NFL play and compares a team’s performance to a league baseline based on a situation in order to determine value over average.” So, now that you have a better grasp on that, here are some of their numbers for the Bills. Buffalo ranks first overall at 32.4% followed by Philly, San Fran, and Dallas. Without getting into the weeds on the numbers, they are currently 2nd overall in offense, 5th in defense, and 2nd in special teams. The Bills are the only team in the top five in each category.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… the Bills only win one-score games?
I’ve made this same joke the last couple of weeks, but if the entirety of mankind can force the “Bills lose all close games” narrative, I can force this one. The Bills have won five straight, and of those wins four are of the one-score variety, and the other was two scores over New England. The average margin of victory over that five-game span is eight or exactly one score.