Scouting Report | QB Josh Allen – Wyoming

03/29/2018
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Personal Background

Athletic Background

High school

  • Late bloomer, as a senior was 6’4″, 184 pounds
  • 0 star recruit coming out of high school
  • Played basketball and baseball; threw a 91 mph fastball

College

  • Maxwell Award Watch List
  • Worked with QB Coach George Whitfield (2017)

Injury history

  • 2015

Broke his collarbone in seven spots

Production

27 FBS Games

  • Pro Football Reference (career statistics)
    • Attempts: 649
    • Completions: 365
    • Completion percentage: 56.2%
    • Yards: 5,066
    • Yards per attempt: 7.8
    • Touchdowns: 44
    • Interceptions: 21
    • Rating: 137.7
  • Pro Football Focus (2017 statistics)
    • Adjusted completion percentage: 66.5% (48th)
    • Adjusted completion percentage vs. pressure: 52.6% (42nd)
    • Adjusted completion percentage vs. blitz: 60.4% (48th)
    • Deep pass adjusted completion percentage: 41.5% (34th)
    • Drop rate: 4.8% (43rd)
    • Average depth of target: 11.6 (7th)
    • Third highest grade in the red zone

Film Reviewed

  • Air Force
  • Colorado State
  • Central Michigan
  • Iowa
  • Nebraska (2016)
  • New Mexico
  • Oregon
  • UNLV
  • Utah State

Measurables

  • Year: Redshirt junior
  • Height: 6′ 5″
  • Weight: 237 pounds
  • Official 40 time: 4.75
  • Hand size: 10 1/8″

Strengths

  • Prototypical build, measurables and athleticism for the position
  • Very competitive; Used to carrying his team
  • Can be a threat in the run game
  • A fighter who doesn’t get brought down easily inside or outside of the pocket; can consistently break tackles with his play strength or athleticism and extend plays
  • Very good understanding of where to go with the ball versus single high looks or typical coverages versus certain formations (such as trips bunch sets)
    • Includes the basic two- and three-man route combinations that attack half of the field, such as: snag/spot/smash/levels and flood concepts
    • Showed mastery of these concepts from shotgun, under center or off of play action
    • Can quickly re-acquire targets downfield outside of the play structure
  • Above average recognition of man coverage and what mismatch to exploit
  • Senses defensive ends losing contain and is able to evade the rush and extend plays, but can also stand tall as pocket surrounds him and make throws to anywhere on the field
  • Some of the better ball handling skills on play action fakes in this class, hides the ball well
  • Pump fakes are always honored by defensive backs because of his ability to put it anywhere on the field
  • Very live arm that can cut through the elements; can adjust his release point and does not need to have his base under him to generate maximum velocity
  • Demonstrates average general accuracy overall; placement, completions and conviction in his throws outside the numbers were noticeably better
    • Especially the case outside of the play structure and off of play action

Weaknesses

  • Ingenuity and commitment to do ‘whatever it takes’ can lead to negative plays
  • Needs to learn when to slide
  • Pocket movement can be choppy and segmented
  • At times will leave the pocket too soon in order to help his field vision
  • Inconsistent mechanics
    • Often throws with too wide of a base
    • At times he over shifts weight during his drop or is caught with too wide of base, which forces him to have to gather himself
      • When off-platform, his arm is often unable to ‘cash the check’
      • Especially with pressure is in his field of vision
  • Processor can shut down when he sees pressure, tends to look for safer ground to continue process of the play
  • As game speed increases or during critical times in games vs. premier opponents, accuracy and placement tends to suffer
  • Lack of anticipation versus complex coverages or split field coverages, struggles to digest where to attack
    • Especially versus trapping coverages; struggles to make the throw in a tight window. The moment often passes him by and is left to make a play outside the play structure
  • Placement and control issues

Overall

Quarterback Josh Allen is a mesmerizing an polarizing player in this draft. His tape is littered with extreme highs and some of the lowest lows. But in a passing league that tends to fall in love with big armed quarterbacks, he is the shiniest of coins. Allen is as big a quarterback as you would like to see, a fine athlete who is able to make plays with his legs and arm, which includes firing the ball on line to any spot on the field.

But his downfalls are his mental processing skills and placement. He is not an aim small, miss small quarterback. A lot of his passing concepts at Wyoming appeared to be of the half-field variety. After working through his progressions play-side, he struggled to process the other half of the field in time to make a play. Sure, his offense had a lot of NFL structure to it, with common passing concepts, checks and audibles, but most of his success through the air occurred when he extended plays or when he was outside of the pocket. Allen currently lacks the necessary field vision, anticipation, and placement to be effective in the NFL in year one.

His best fit, especially in year one and two, will be with a run heavy team, a team with a well respected running back that will force defenses to continuously stack the box and allow Allen to use his play action skills and live arm to stretch the field vertically. He will especially benefit with receiving options that can separate with their speed or are able to recognize the scramble drill, as Allen will struggle to process coverages early and likely look to make plays outside of the play structure. I believe that Allen still is a year or two away and will benefit tremendously if brought along slowly.

Allen was graded as a 4.667, a second round pick but chances are he is drafted way too early and with that will come true boom or bust potential.

 

Film

 

 

 

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