Should we worry about the Bills run defense?

11/03/2022
DB+

The Buffalo Bills won an ugly Week 8 contest with the Green Bay Packers… and by ugly, we mean beating the two-time defending MVP by 10 points. But with that, the second half of Buffalo’s sixth win on the year saw the team score only three points while the Packers moved the ball at will on the ground, picking up 125 of their 208 net rushing yards on the day in the third and fourth quarters. Is this a sign of things to come? Will teams look to run on the Bills often? Let’s take a look. Examining win probability  Let’s start by looking at the Bills’ most recent game. As you watched the Packers abandon Aaron Rodger’s arm and saw the Bills give up chunk after chunk to Aaron Jones and AJ Dillion, you may have feared the Packers were mounting a comeback. But what if I told you the Bills’ win probability increased throughout the third quarter? Green Bay possessed the ball for just under 11 minutes in the third quarter, and despite this, the Bills’ win probability increased from 96.5% when the Packers took the opening kickoff to 97.2% by the time the fourth quarter started. How is…

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Teacher by day and runner by day. Cover 1 Writer by night.

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