Your Buffalo Bills are in the playoffs – that will never get old – and in the Wild Card Round they face the Miami Dolphins for the third time this season. The Bills and Dolphins split the regular season matchups with each home team claiming victory. As in every game, third downs will be critically important. Even with teams becoming increasingly comfortable with the idea of going for it on fourth down, third down plays and performance are still vitally important and provide an inroad to what teams think they do well or what they think their opponent does poorly. Third and long plays (7+ yards to conversion) are especially crucial as they can represent a resurrected drive for the offense or a chance to get off the field for the defense. Through the lens of third and long, let’s look at the Bills’ defense against the Miami offense. At first glance, 3rd & 7+ is a huge advantage for the Dolphins’ offense. Miami has been a top 10 offense in DVOA in 3rd/4th & long situations. Mike McDaniel, Tyreek Hill, and Tua Tagovailoa have powered the Fins to nearly 20 percentage points better performance in this category over last…