The Buffalo Bills suffered their first setback of the 2022 NFL season last week, falling to Miami, 21-19, but that hasn’t slowed their unbelievable stats for the 2022 season. Buffalo has some entertaining underlying numbers that you might be able to store in your pocket and ask a friend: “would you believe me if I said…” Greg Vorse continues our new series where he shares five stats that fit that bill.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… Josh Allen is on pace to become the all-time single-season passing leader?
Through three games, the Bills’ quarterback has thrown for 1,014 yards, the most of any QB this season. That’s an average of 338 passing yards per game, and when you multiply that number by 17, you get a total of 5,746 yards. The current NFL record is Peyton Manning’s 5,477 done in 2013 for the Denver Broncos. Manning’s yards per game panned out to be just over 342 because he only played 16 games, but that won’t matter when lists are thrown together for talking heads on your TV and knuckleheads (like myself) on your devices. If you want to play the “but 16 games” argument, Allen is on pace to be third all-time with Drew Brees also sneaking ahead of the Bills’ signal caller.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… the Bills have the lowest graded run blocking unit?
According to our friends over at Pro Football Focus (PFF), the Bills’ run blocking grade is currently 40.6. That is the worst in the NFL by almost eight points behind the Seattle Seahawks. This shouldn’t come as much of a surprise when you look at the surface numbers. You have to scroll for days to find where Bills’ backs sit in yards gained so far, Devin Singletary coming in 48th (80 yards) and Zack Moss 52nd (78 yards). Josh Allen might turn out to be superman, but little help in the backfield may be his kryptonite.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… the Bills’ defense is rarely on the field?
Through three games, the Bills’ defense is averaging just 52.7 snaps per game, or they’ve taken the field for 158 snaps in 2022. The next closest is Denver’s 160 snaps and Green Bay’s 161 snaps. A lot can factor into this stat, but the two most obvious correlations I found were winning time of possession and pace of play. The teams in the top five or six in both of those were also near the top in the fewest defensive snaps. Regardless, it’s a good problem to have for Buffalo despite coming off a loss.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… we may need to officially crown Stefon Diggs?
The triple crown is thought of as a baseball stat, but when it comes to wide receivers, the numbers to keep an eye on are receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Entering Week 4, WR Stefon Diggs is either first or second in all three stats. The Bills’ pass catcher leads the league in yards at 344, two yards ahead of second-place Jaylen Waddle. His four touchdowns are ahead of a host of dudes who have hauled in three TDs. The only place he isn’t leading is receptions trailing Rams’ Cooper Kupp’s 28 by just one. So, this could be a fun race to keep an eye on throughout the season.
Would You Believe Me If I Said… the Bills are still dominating analytics?
The Bills are still leaps and bounds ahead of the rest of the NFL in Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA). In the simplest form, this is a rating given to teams when you take all on-field factors into account. After three weeks, Buffalo’s Total DVOA is 51.8%. Not only are they the only team above 50%, but they clear second place Jacksonville by almost eight points. The league’s two undefeated teams currently rank 4th (Philadelphia) and 11th (Miami). To take this one step further, Football Outsiders still thinks the Bills are a roughly 1/5 shot to win the Super Bowl, which is also tops in the NFL. I’ve said a lot about their stats here, so if you want more, head over to their site. It is pretty awesome!
If you found any “would you believe me if I said…” stats that you want to share, please feel free to DM me @GregVorse on Twitter.