Rams’ Jared Goff a Top-3 Fantasy Football QB?

07/15/2018
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Jared Goff once said, “What’s helped me be successful is staying as calm as possible.”

The sense of zen, of calmness that Goff shows after he was wildly written off as a bust following his rough rookie season. He then bounced back in a big way, and that cool, collectiveness will remain a theme here.

2016’s first overall pick is currently being drafted as the 14th Quarterback off the board in Fantasy Football drafts. I too remain calm hearing that.

Even if preceding Goff are players like Andrew Luck, who has barely thrown a ball for the last 18 months. Jimmy Garoppolo – who threw seven touchdowns and five interceptions in five games last season. Matt Ryan, who over the past five years finished as a QB1 just twice and averages an 11.8 end of the season ranking.

Despite the fact that there were huge additions to the Los Angeles roster; i.e. Brandin Cooks, Marcus Peters, Aqib Talib, Ndamukong Suh. The fantasy football world still seems to prefer a quarterback who has started seven games. I repeat SEVEN games.

I accept that Goff looked like a baby giraffe his rookie season, but the fact that the fantasy world still sees him in that light, proves how long it takes people to get the first impression out of our head.

In fact the happy-go-lucky California kid was a monster last season.

Finishing 10th in fantasy rankings above Matt Ryan, Jimmy Garoppolo, Drew Brees and, ex-teammate, Case Keenum. He also had Jeff Fisher as a coach during his rookie season just to give life to the corpse that is the Goff fan base.

He dissected his opponents, put the ball all over the field and made the correct calls. It seems as if the game has ‘slowed down’ for the youngster. Seeing that come to fruition in his stats, on film and to the naked eye. He’s relaxed and confident.

Diving into his stellar 2017 season, Goff, threw 28 touchdowns and only seven interceptions. He finished 10th in the NFL with 3,804 yards and seventh in the NFL with those 28 touchdowns. His seven interceptions has him placed behind Alex Smith(5) and tied with Case Keenum(7) with at least 290 completions and seven or less interceptions.

Now let’s take it one step further and look at Goff’s red zone stats from 2017. He finished third in the NFL with 23 touchdowns, behind only Brady(26) and Wentz(24). Goff finished fourth in the NFL in both pass completions and attempts. He finished second in total passing yards (327) only behind Brady (358). Goff didn’t throw an interception. All within the 20 yard line.

Goff finished seventh in the NFL with 17 Money Throws ; a pass requiring exceptional skill or athleticism as well as critical throws executed in clutch moments. Goff finished fourth out of all quarterbacks with .5 fantasy points per drop back.

If you didn’t catch that, every time Goff dropped back he got you .5 points. Again, he was a monster.

Goff threw two or more touchdowns in 10 of the 16 games played. In fact, seven of the final eight games of the season Goff threw two or more touchdowns. During the final seven games Goff averaged 297.9 yards per game, 2.7 touchdowns, 0.4 interceptions. A great indicator of what should be coming this season for him in 2018.

However Goff and the Rams still fell short in January. So McVay said, give me everyone you can and we will win more. That’s exactly what the front office did.

Goff is swapping out Sammy Watkins for a better version in Brandin Cooks. They bolstered their defense which will give Goff more time on offense and less time playing from behind.

Some fantasy owners want the quarterbacks who are always behind to accumulate a ton of garbage time points. But with Goff and the Rams containing a lead for a majority of the game, it’ll be easier for Goff to remain relaxed and calm, which is how he catapulted to a QB1 last season. Similar to how Cam Newton played in 2015. Ahead a lot and having fun tormenting teams.

To summarize, the offensive line is beefed up and the head coach is one of the smartest football minds in the world. The defense is stacked and the running game brings back fantasy MVP Todd Gurley. Goff has a slew of weapons around him and no excuse not to be a star fantasy player. I have him ranked third on my list, while the world seems to have him ranked 14th. If you’re looking for a sleeper at the quarterback position and don’t want to draft one with your first nine picks. I would strongly suggest grabbing Goff in the 10th round, where his ADP is currently, before he starts moving up the board.

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