Nate Geary’s Top 10 QBs: #6 Davis Webb

04/20/2017
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6. Davis Webb (Sr.) – California

Height: 6-5 Weight: 230

40-Yard Dash: 4.79

Career Stats:

            9,852 passing yards, 83 TDs, 24 INTs, 61.5% comp. %

Player Comparison: Jared Goff

Projected Draft Round: 2-3

 

The Lowdown:

Webb has the size and arm strength to play quarterback in the NFL, but I have my reservations about whether he can be any more than a career backup. His gunslinger mentality tends to get him in a lot of trouble, and I just don’t know that he can consistently beat NFL defenses down the field. On paper (size and stats), you see the makings of your prototypical NFL quarterback. But you can tend to see a very different player against the more talented teams on Cal’s schedule. A lot (and I mean a lot) of his throws last season came at or near the line of scrimmage. Like his predecessor Jared Goff, Webb spent his time exclusively in shotgun, running a very passer-friendly offense. Goff was unable to beat out veteran journeyman Case Keenum because he had a ton of trouble understanding and regurgitating the verbiage of an NFL offense. With Goff there was a huge learning curve, and you can assume you’ll be getting the same with Webb. Like draft season always brings, this one has seen rumors Webb could potentially be taken later in the first round. I think those are a bit extreme. He flashes a great arm, but scares you away when he panics in the face of pressure and throws balls off his back foot and into double coverage.

 

What They’re Saying:

            “When things don’t go as planned either with pressure or defensive movement his game takes a drastic change. His feet and mind get sped up and his ball placement suffers. He can be late to recognize coverage and try to make up for it with his arm, resulting in poor decisions. The learning curve from his offense at Cal will be steep. Overall Webb is a developmental quarterback with a chance to be a backup down the road.”

 

-Pro Football Focus

 

            Webb fails to consistently check off defenders in the secondary as he makes too many foolish throws 25-plus yards down the field into heavy-congested areas. He underthrows the ball constantly on the nine route which goes back to his body mechanics and his throwing base. Webb will not serve as an immediate game changer at the next level but has the physical tools to be coached into a middle of the road NFL quarterback.”

 

-Christian Page (Optimum Scouting)

 

“System quarterback with more than 65 percent of his attempts coming inside of 10 yards. Webb has enough raw talent to be considered a developmental prospect, but his decision-making and accuracy issues beyond 10 yards is a big red flag that might be tough to overcome in the NFL.”

 

-Lance Zierlein (NFL.com)

 

My Take:

I just don’t buy the hype, and his arm mechanics scare the hell out of me. When he panics inside the pocket, he has a tendency to fall back and throw off of his back foot, and although he got away with it in college (at times) because of his arm strength, he won’t get away with it at the next level. Accurate throws past 15 yards were few and far between, at times. Scouts and coaches will fall in love with what they see when Webb gets into a rhythm, and that’s what gets him to sixth on my list, but in terms of looking at Webb as a potential target for the Bills in the second round, I just don’t see it.

 

Game Film:

https://streamable.com/b8g3j

 

This is a really good example of “in-rhythm Webb”, and it’s why he’s a compelling prospect. His ball placement is picture perfect on this play, and he puts it just out of the reach of a nearby defender. He gets a nice, clean pocket, identifies the one-high safety, starts left, and throws a strike to the right sideline.

 

https://streamable.com/v514h

 

This was a bad game from Webb, overall. This is the sort of play, though, that I found a number of on a significant number of occasions. He drifts out of the pocket into danger and makes a heavily contested throw off of his back foot. This is the kind of stuff Webb needs to do a conscious job eliminating from his game at the next level.

 

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